Both teams arrive at the final as current holders of major trophies: England are the defending European champions, having won Euro 2022, while Spain are the reigning World Cup winners. This matchup is regarded as the premier rivalry in international women’s football, with both sides splitting their last five meetings (two wins each, one draw).
England’s route to the final included a penalty shootout win over Sweden in the quarterfinals and an extra-time victory against Italy in the semifinals, with crucial contributions from substitutes Chloe Kelly and Michelle Agyemang. Spain advanced by eliminating hosts Switzerland before defeating Germany with a late goal by Aitana Bonmatí in extra time.
Team news centers on England’s Lauren James, who is recovering from an ankle injury sustained in the semifinals. Her availability remains uncertain, with Beth Mead likely to start if James is sidelined. Spain welcome back defender Laia Aleixandri from suspension, though María Méndez’s strong performances could keep her in the lineup.
The predicted starting XIs are:
England: Hampton; Bronze, Williamson, Carter, Greenwood; Walsh, Stanway, Toone; James (or Mead), Russo, Hemp.
Spain: Coll; Batlle, Paredes, Aleixandri (or Méndez), Carmona; Bonmatí, Guijarro, Putellas; Caldentey, González, Athenea.
Historically, England hold a slight advantage in head-to-head matches since 2007 (7 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses), but Spain have won two of the last three encounters, including the 2023 World Cup final. England seek to become the first non-German team to win back-to-back Euros, while Spain aim for their first European title and a rare double as simultaneous World Cup and Euro champions.
Both teams have showcased attacking quality throughout the tournament, with Spain scoring 17 goals and England 15. Spain have also been more solid defensively, conceding only three goals compared to England’s six.
Expert predictions narrowly favor Spain, with most analysts expecting a close match decided by small margins. The consensus scoreline is a 2-1 victory for Spain, possibly in extra time, repeating their recent success over England and marking a historic first Euro title for La Roja.