Spain’s performance in the group stage was nothing short of dominant. Luis de la Fuente’s side finished atop Group B with three wins in three matches, scoring five goals and conceding none. The squad’s impressive statistics—such as a 67% average possession rate and a passing accuracy exceeding 90%—highlight their technical superiority and control. Key players like Lamine Yamal and Dani Carvajal have been instrumental, with Yamal providing crucial assists and Carvajal contributing both defensively and offensively.
Georgia, meanwhile, has become one of Euro 2024’s Cinderella stories. Making their tournament debut, they advanced from Group F as one of the best third-placed teams. Despite being ranked 74th in the world, Georgia stunned the footballing world by defeating Portugal 2-0 in their final group match. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has led the charge, scoring twice and creating numerous chances, while goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili has made more saves than any other keeper in the competition so far.
Historically, Spain and Georgia have met five times, with Spain winning four and Georgia securing one shock victory in a 2016 World Cup qualifier. In their most recent encounter during Euro 2024 qualifying, Spain triumphed with a 7-1 victory. Given these statistics, bookmakers are offering odds as short as 1.16 for a Spanish win, while Georgia’s odds stand at 17.00 for an upset.
From a betting perspective, the market heavily favors Spain, especially in the Asian handicap and total goals segments. However, Georgia’s recent form and tactical discipline suggest that they could provide resistance, particularly in the first half. Analysts are closely watching the over/under 2.5 goals market, with Spain’s attacking prowess and Georgia’s counter-attacking threat both contributing to uncertainty in goal projections.
In summary, while Spain’s statistical dominance makes them clear favorites, Georgia’s resilience and momentum create the potential for surprises. For bettors, the focus will be on Spain’s margin of victory and whether Georgia can continue their remarkable run by scoring against one of the tournament’s best defenses.