In their most recent meeting, Sabrina Ionescu led the Liberty with 28 points, while Breanna Stewart delivered a dominant 25-point performance in the season opener. On the Aces’ side, A’ja Wilson has been in stellar form throughout the season, averaging 35.2 points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) per game, including an historic 30-point, 20-rebound outing, a first in WNBA history. However, Wilson’s impact was limited in the July 8th game due to an early injury that saw her play only 14 minutes, directly affecting the Aces’ offensive rhythm.
Statistically, the Liberty have now claimed victory in eight of their last nine head-to-head games against the Aces, indicating a clear trend in this rivalry. Both teams have leaned heavily on their stars: Stewart’s versatility and Ionescu’s scoring for New York, and Wilson’s all-around dominance for Las Vegas. The Liberty’s recent acquisition of 6’4″ Emma Meesseman has marginally improved their rebounding, yet they remain last in the WNBA in offensive rebounding percentage over the last five games, creating opportunities for the Aces’ rebounders like NaLyssa Smith. Smith has averaged 6.1 rebounds per game since joining Las Vegas, grabbing at least six boards in eight out of twelve games where she played 20+ minutes.
Despite these improvements, New York’s fast-paced offense and efficient scoring have compensated for their rebounding woes, consistently outpacing the Aces in high-scoring affairs. Both teams rank in the top six for points per game scored, while their defenses have been less impressive, each sitting in the bottom six for defensive rating over the past ten games. This has led to frequent high-total outcomes; for example, the recommended betting lines have often favored the over, with recent matchups combining for over 170 points.
Looking ahead, injury reports remain crucial. The Liberty are monitoring Breanna Stewart (leg) and Nyara Sabally (knee), while the Aces have been without Cheyenne Parker-Tyus due to personal reasons. The absence of Wilson in their most recent clash with New York exposed the Aces’ lack of offensive depth, a concern as the season progresses.
For betting enthusiasts, the player prop market has centered on stars like Wilson and Smith. Wilson’s Over 36.5 PRA remains an attractive bet when healthy, given her consistency and the Liberty’s struggles defending the paint and controlling the glass. Meanwhile, Smith’s rebounding props are appealing, especially against a New York squad that allows plenty of second-chance opportunities.
As the rivalry intensifies, all eyes will be on whether the Aces can rebound—both literally and figuratively—against a Liberty team that has had their number. For more statistical breakdowns and live updates, check out the official WNBA box score and follow the latest player news on social media.