Predict the Outcome: Dolphins vs. Jets Monday Night Battle

The Miami Dolphins will host the New York Jets in a pivotal Monday Night Football matchup at Hard Rock Stadium on September 29, 2025. Both AFC East rivals enter Week 4 with 0-3 records, making this contest critical as no team in NFL history has reached the postseason after starting 0-4. The Dolphins are slight 2.5-point favorites, according to the latest odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, with an over/under set at 44.5 points. ESPN’s Analytics gives Miami a 54.9% chance to win, while the Jets stand at 44.2%. The home team has dominated this series recently, with Miami winning nine consecutive home games against New York, each by more than the current spread. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been effective against the Jets, posting a 5-0 record in his starts with a 76% completion rate and no interceptions in his last two meetings. Miami’s offense, led by Tagovailoa and running back De’Von Achane, is averaging 5.4 yards per carry and ranks first in the league in third-down conversions. However, the Dolphins’ defense has struggled, allowing nine touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks without forcing a turnover in the first three games. The Jets, meanwhile, feature a strong running game but have yet to see Breece Hall reach the end zone this season. Quarterback Justin Fields is cleared from concussion protocol, potentially boosting the offense, which currently ranks in the top 10 in rushing yards and scores. Defensively, the Jets have struggled against the run and have yet to record a takeaway in 2025. Both teams are dealing with injuries. The Jets will be without cornerback Jarvis Brownlee (ankle) and edge rusher Jermaine Johnson. Miami lists several players as inactive, including cornerback Ethan Bonner and quarterback Quinn Ewers. The last meeting between these teams saw the Jets defeat the Dolphins 32-20, with Aaron Rodgers throwing a season-high four touchdown passes. However, both teams have struggled since, making this Monday Night Football clash crucial for their playoff hopes. For live coverage, stats, and updates, visit ESPN’s Jets vs. Dolphins live score page. For betting projections and expert picks, see the SportsLine Dolphins vs. Jets prediction. With both teams desperate to avoid an 0-4 start, expect a competitive contest where the Dolphins’ home advantage and offensive efficiency will be tested against the Jets’ rushing attack and revamped quarterback play.